The strength of the US dollar could mean trouble for several deals, market analysts say.
The dollar index hit a one-year high against rival currencies on Wednesday as investors perceived the possibility that the Federal Reserve will begin to roll back some of its stimulus by the end of the year.
If the rally continues, some industrial stocks could be in trouble, Mark Newton of Fundstrat Global Advisors told CNBC's Trading Nation on Wednesday .
"A lot of these industrial stocks tend to get most of their revenues from overseas," the company's head of technical strategy said.
For one thing, Caterpillar gets more than 60% of its sales outside the United States, he said.
″Since the dollar has really risen ... industrials have been the weakest sector", falling more than 3.5% since the dollar's recent bottom on 25 May, Newton said.
"My own technical forecast suggests that the dollar will rise to 95.35 between now and mid-October, so that could cause a slight increase in pressure from sellers over the next three to five weeks," he said.
The dollar index hovered above $94 in afternoon trading on Wednesday.
Caterpillar shares could become attractive if that fails, Newton said.
While it would be a "compelling buy" in the $173 to $175 range, "it looks like it needs a bit more on the downside and we're still in a very weak season," he said.
Caterpillar shares ended Wednesday's trading down more than 1% to $197.87.
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"So 173 to 175 is the first area, then 167," Newton said. "At the moment I like to buy on declines. The trends remain negative and the dollar is still in a very steady uptrend, so showing some patience is the right thing to do."
The dollar's dominance could also hurt another part of the market, Boris Schlossberg, managing director of currency strategy at BK Asset Management, said in the same interview.
"The biggest victim of this rise in the dollar will be gold," Schlossberg said.
"As the real interest rate improves due to rising nominal yields, this will put further downward pressure on gold," he warned. "Add to that the fact that I think gold is now under very, very strong competitive pressure from cryptocurrency."
According to him, this could be holding back price growth.
"I think gold is dropping below 1700 and it's really disappointing for a lot of gold bulls," Schlossberg said.
Gold fell to around $1,725 on Wednesday.
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